PP likely to win election, but will fall short of majority
Posted On 5th October 2026
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The latest average of opinion polls suggests the PP would win the election, but would need support from Vox to form a government.
The latest poll average puts the PP on around 137 seats, with Vox on 65 — giving the two parties more than 200 seats between them, comfortably above the 176 needed for a majority.
The PSOE is projected to win around 113 seats, while Sumar is on ten.
The figures are based on current polling and do not represent a forecast of the final result.
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